Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 89.253744 99.511602 109.943400 121.315381 133.333121 145.627315 159.126649
2025-08-24 73.435594 88.312119 104.057443 121.839994 141.247374 161.677894 184.705813
2025-08-31 62.592874 79.890809 98.767208 120.642717 145.059684 171.263056 201.303841
2025-09-07 55.826402 75.058245 96.599953 122.098667 151.073071 182.633388 219.282988
2025-09-14 50.607409 71.376177 95.193259 123.910975 157.042067 193.578466 236.452474
2025-09-21 44.740285 66.374337 91.795923 123.022102 159.586390 200.389543 248.745249
2025-09-28 38.894129 60.899787 87.424978 120.623725 160.071810 204.600644 257.869847
2025-10-05 37.052774 60.266243 88.744925 124.841773 168.150206 217.401706 276.676438
2025-10-12 34.664617 58.718608 88.780163 127.380886 174.147889 227.728675 292.598288
2025-10-19 31.120064 55.373738 86.360639 126.753239 176.238900 233.409399 303.084387
2025-10-26 27.939858 52.279307 84.070401 126.124151 178.196259 238.830011 313.183164
2025-11-02 25.601564 50.179365 82.930134 126.818040 181.664932 245.961076 325.218718
2025-11-09 22.827617 47.281406 80.635396 125.993865 183.265154 250.903351 334.758218
2025-11-16 20.706235 45.182914 79.295582 126.304134 186.201966 257.402236 346.110745
2025-11-23 18.281663 42.415524 76.894836 125.118063 187.182276 261.479260 354.540267
2025-11-30 16.923276 41.209917 76.577948 126.598761 191.455723 269.497411 367.627769
2025-12-07 15.788448 40.272325 76.575827 128.449880 196.164910 278.025384 381.314797
2025-12-14 13.958602 38.011272 74.572602 127.542313 197.308711 282.165515 389.720480
2025-12-21 11.893378 35.125924 71.514765 125.093647 196.390685 283.711870 394.954435
2025-12-28 11.700851 35.589538 73.405984 129.399898 204.172938 295.966875 413.108208
2026-01-04 11.104237 35.251664 74.064756 131.991493 209.727628 305.472481 427.947210
2026-01-11 9.806222 33.455350 72.432684 131.350915 211.039201 309.697118 436.370760
2026-01-18 8.622961 31.744478 70.845857 130.708839 212.300942 313.825874 444.653129